The year 2004 was a tumultuous year - a year that saw tremendous increase
in price of oil and almost all petrochemicals. The second half of this
year in particular, witnessed escalating prices that halted a solid growth
in nascent stages just as the global economy started on the path to recovery.
Further growth of petrochemicals in 2005 will be decided by the stability
of feedstock prices. The price increases adversely affected the profitability
of plastic converters as they were squeezed at two ends - by the raw material
suppliers at one end and the end users at the other.
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* Global economic growth
* The Middle East region : emergence as leading petrochem manufacturing
base and consolidation
* The North American and European petrochem manufacturing sector : consolidations
and reorganisation
* India : Capacity expansions and estimated polymer consumption
* Estimated polymer consumption in India vis a vis China in 2004
India has grown by about 10% in 2004, but actual consumption is lower
when compared to China. With polymer growth rates quite similar in both
the countries, India despite its huge population, will always be a distinct
second in Asia. It cannot catch with the demand/consumption of plastics
in China. However, both these countries will dominate the global markets.
They will influence the capacity and supply situations in the future.
China, because of its huge demand will continue to outsource polymers
from the Middle East. Supply in India on the other hand, is surplus for
the last few years and India continues to export almost half a million
tons of polymers every year, predominantly to China. ........................CLICK
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