End-Use Sectors in Asia-Pacific will drive growth of global polypropylene. PP capacity increased at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 5.2% from 2003, reaching 65 mln tpa in 2013, and is expected to continue rising to 86 mmtpa by 2018, at a slightly higher CAGR of 5.8%, as per a report by GlobalData. It forecasts China and Russia to be the leading contributors to future polypropylene capacity increases, and will account for a combined 45% of global additions over the next five years. A demand-side push is driving additional capacity in China, forcing it to produce more domestic polypropylene. China will lead new global polypropylene capacity increases over the next five years, as its goal of self-sufficiency drives 7.48 mmtpa of additions, of which 97.6% will come from new plants and the remainder from the expansion of existing facilities. The report also forecasts that China will account for 62.4% and 35.5% of planned Asian and global capacity additions by 2018, respectively. Russia will be the second largest contributor to growth, mainly due to the country's recent diversification into the petrochemicals sector, which has seen substantial investment in bulk polymer industries, such as polyethylene and polypropylene. Until 2012, Russia's polypropylene capacity was only 0.65 mmtpa, but this increased to 1.33 mmtpa in 2013 and is further expected to reach approximately 3.48 mmtpa by 2018, with all additions coming from new plants.
This report also states that Venezuela and India will be the respective third and fourth largest contributors to capacity increases over the next five years, with both countries investing in the polypropylene sector to cater to the domestic market and replace imports. In the next five years, China and India are likely to add polypropylene capacity of 7.48 mln tpa) and 1.675 mln tpa respectively. Overall, polypropylene capacity in Asia-Pacific is expected to increase by around 12 mln tpa by 2018.