| With domestic capacity exceeding 
                                demand, India has been a net exporter of commodity 
                                polymers for the last 4-5 years. This situation 
                                will continue for atleast the next 3 years, particularly 
                                for LLDPE, HDPE, PP and Polystyrene. However, 
                                there is a need to import some polymers like LDPE 
                                and EVA as well as some specialty products. These 
                                specialty products are from the group of polymers 
                                that infact have an excessive capacity. However, 
                                the domestic requirement of these grades is not 
                                large enough for the local producers to manufacture 
                                them in cost-effective manner. According to our data bank, the overall trade 
                                balance in 2004 was as follows 
                                 
                                  
                                  | Polymer Demand in India |   
                                  
                                  | Type | Local 
                                    Production | Export | Import | Demand |   
                                  
                                  | LDPE | 195 | 0 | 15 | 210 |   
                                  
                                  | EVA | 5 | 0 | 35 | 40 |   
                                  
                                  | LLDPE | 550 | 150 | 75 | 475 |   
                                  
                                  | HDPE | 1000 | 100 | 70 | 970 |   
                                  
                                  | PP | 1450 | 300 | 100 | 1250 |   
                                  
                                  | PVC | 800 | 10 | 160 | 950 |   
                                  
                                  | Polystyrene | 300 | 100 | 10 | 210 |   
                                  
                                  |  |  |  |  |  |   
                                  
                                  | TOTAL | 4300 | 660 | 465 | 4105 |   Several larger and well recognized 
                                international suppliers with marketing offices 
                                in India like Basell, Borouge, Exxon Mobil, Sabic 
                                etc. are fighting to get some market share from 
                                almost 465 KT imports of commodity polymers. The 
                                situation in the next 2-3 years will not change 
                                significantly since an increase in capacity of 
                                LDPE, PP and PVC is on the cards. EVA plant of 
                                RIL (erstwhile Nocil), restarted only in December 
                                2004, will have much higher production from this 
                                year.  Polymer business is very dynamic- prices fluctuate 
                                violently due to dependence on price sensitive 
                                oil and other feedstock materials. Generally price 
                                variation of about US$20-25 is quite common at 
                                any time of the year. The larger consumers, who 
                                have excellent contact with polymer suppliers 
                                always tend to command a lower price.  |