As per a recently published
research report, South East Asia has emerged as
the global leader in plastics consumption, with
over 50 million tons consumption of plastics in
2004, overtaking USA as well as Europe. Asia is
also leading growth in the market for thermoplastic
polyurethanes (TPU). The consumption of TPU was
357,100 tonnes in 2004, with Asia accounting for
just over 50% of demand, Europe 27% and the Americas,
the remainder.
China accounts for nearly 65%
of all polymer demand and approximately one-third
of production. This also illustrates a considerable
shortfall in polymer supply in China. With the
exception of Vietnam (which has been developing
from a much lower base), China has consistently
been the fastest growing market in the region
for plastics consumption for over a decade, and
growth continued unabated through both the recessionary
periods of 1998 and 2001. The dynamism of the
Chinese economy has been largely immune to global
influences. The market is increasingly being driven
by developments in China and growth there has
fuelled export booms for the rest of the region
in commodities, raw materials, machinery and components.
Ultimately, the strength of China could undermine
the plastics industry in the rest of South East
Asia. 2004 was another strong year of growth for
polymer demand in China. China 's huge dependency
on imported polymer means that the country's polymer
markets have become integrated with international
markets and follow global trends. Prices of domestically
produced and imported materials are being driven
up by high international prices for raw materials,
as well as oil and naphtha. This is leading to
some pain for processors, particularly smaller
ones.
The success of China tends to
overshadow the situation in the rest of South
East Asia , where the outlook is much less certain.
If one removes China from the equation, then the
market grew only 2.5% for 2004. Demand growth
in the rest of the region was affected adversely
by the rise in polymer prices and the strength
of the Chinese economy.
It is not only processors in Europe or North America
who are struggling to compete with Chinese production.
The rest of South East Asia is also witnessing
a growing trend for manufacturing to relocate
to China and its markets susceptible to imports
of cheaper finished goods from China. The more
developed economies of South Korea, Taiwan and
Singapore, are seeing their markets mature and
a tendency for plastics processing to move into
China, Vietnam and other lower cost locations.
Taiwan has felt the added impact of environmental
legislation that banned the use of plastic carrier
bags and disposable food containers, leading to
falling demand for some polymers. However, certain
sectors of the processing industry have succeeded
in moving up the value chain and often it is the
low end work that has transferred to China.
Indonesia and the Philippines have been struggling
to recover the ground lost during the economic
crisis of 1998, witnessing a sharp decline in
foreign direct investment. Both have seen lower
demand in 2004, because of the effects of high
polymer prices.
Demand growth was stronger in Thailand and Malaysia
for 2004, but here too rising imports of finished
goods from China, high polymer costs and the transfer
of manufacturing into China was hurting the growth.
Global growth in the consumption of TPU was estimated
at 3.8% in 2004. The Asian market showed above
average growth, while growth in the markets of
Americas and Europe was below average. The two
largest sectors for TPUs last year were engineering
(29%) and footwear (28%). Slow growth, legislation
and the shift of the footwear and engineering
industries to Asia has affected the European market.
However, many innovations from the sector are
emerging through blending and composite technology.
China is the dominant country for TPUs in Asia,
with a strong focus on footwear applications in
the south and east of the country. The alternative
markets developing in Asia included TPU resins
for applications such as plastic tubing and washing
machine hoses.
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