| 2004 has been a very challenging year for 
                                the petrochemical sector due to unprecedented 
                                price fluctuations, ultimately leading to almost 
                                25-40% increase in prices of feedstock as well 
                                as some of the petrochemical products such as 
                                polymers. For the past two decades, the global 
                                petrochemical industry has been struggling with 
                                the dual challenge of growing its business in 
                                a mature market while managing costs. But these 
                                concerns have become particularly acute during 
                                the latest increase in oil prices.
 To cope with the new realities, petrochemical 
                                producers are pursuing diverging paths of consolidation 
                                on the one hand and divestitures on the other. 
                                The equation of profit and loss spells out only 
                                two possible solutions for companies seeking to 
                                improve their bottom line: boost revenue or cut 
                                costs. In the case of petrochemicals, producers 
                                have been pursuing a mix of both. On the revenue 
                                side, companies have been attaching greater importance 
                                to enhancing shareholder value to seek quantum 
                                growth through external acquisitions or IPOs. 
                                R&D innovations leading to internal organic 
                                growth have declined in importance. On the cost 
                                side, efforts to streamline operations have been 
                                motivated by the growing sensitivity of petrochemical 
                                prices to crude oil prices, with cost savings 
                                being the key word in various spin-offs.
 
 Price sensitivity of petrochemicals in co relation 
                                to crude oil prices is increasing over the past 
                                decade. From an average of 50% in the last decade 
                                of the 1900s, the correlation between WTI crude 
                                and global ethylene prices have climbed to over 
                                80% by 2004. This stronger connection implies 
                                higher volatility in petrochemical prices corresponding 
                                to current volatile oil prices. This is indicated 
                                in increased volatility in ethylene prices, from 
                                as low as 6% in the early 1990s to over 10% in 
                                2003 and 2004.
 Notwithstanding these factors, the petrochemical 
                                industry has prospered as end-product prices have 
                                climbed at a pace faster than oil prices. With 
                                more profits at their disposal, petrochemical 
                                companies are now in a position to pursue large-scale 
                                acquisitions to achieve new growth targets, taking 
                                mergers and acquisitions (M&A) to a new level, 
                                and even renewing pursual of acquisitions that 
                                may have been shelved in the early 1990s. Perhaps 
                                the most active center of M&A activity this 
                                year has been Europe, with 2004 being dubbed as 
                                the year of European spin-offs. Oil majors such 
                                as BP, Shell, and Total, and chemical giants such 
                                as Bayer and BASF are all looking to divest their 
                                petrochemicals portfolios to escape the cyclical 
                                and generally low-margin business of commodity 
                                chemicals. 
 An overview of global M & A scenario 
                                :
 Producers that have undertaken M&A to 
                                improve their bottom line:
 
  Blackstone take over of Celanese, and Lyondell's  Blackstone take over of Celanese, and Lyondell's 
                                plans to acquire Millennium Chemicals. Both are 
                                producers of acetyls in USA and both are short 
                                of ethylene feedstock. 
 
  Saudi Arabian petrochemical giant SABIC bought  Saudi Arabian petrochemical giant SABIC bought 
                                DSM’s petrochemicals business in 2002, signalling 
                                the exit of DSM from basic polymers to developing 
                                its high-value-added specialty and fine chemicals 
                                segment. 
 
  In Korea, Honam and LG Chem bought out Hyundai  In Korea, Honam and LG Chem bought out Hyundai 
                                Petrochemical. The process will continue with 
                                the buying out of KP Chemical. Atofina’s 
                                purchase of a stake in Samsung Petrochemical is 
                                the largest foreign investments in Korea’s 
                                petrochemical sector. Producers seeking to shed unprofitable parts 
                                of their business, changing over from commodity 
                                plastics to higher value chemicals:
 Shell and BASF announced plans to sell their stakes 
                                in Basell, a 50/50 polyolefins joint venture.
 
 Many of the issues facing the petrochemical industry 
                                today have been a continuation from the past several 
                                decades: the highly cyclical nature of the commodity 
                                chemicals markets, periodic capacity gluts, matured/maturing 
                                markets in the developed economies, and the trend 
                                toward globalization. The difference lies in the 
                                closer linkages among the various markets and 
                                regions of the world and closer scrutiny of companies 
                                to perform for their shareholders. This indicates 
                                an element of uncertainty for the industry.
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