A leading market research organization- AMI
from UK, in a research project on global oriented
PP film (BOPP) market states that Asia, led
by China, is the largest market for BOPP films.
Out of the expected demand of about 4.2 million
tons in 2005, demand from China constituted
an estimated more than 1 million tons. Asia
possibly accounts for 40% of the global demand,
which is expected to reach a level of 50%
in the next few years. Europe and North America
each account for about 650 KT of demand.
each account for about 700 KT of demand.
In the Asian region, China is driving the
market. Chinese processors have been increasing
capacity, with almost 80% of the new capacity
being added over the last 2 years. Besides,
the Chinese are setting up more economical,
larger size plants, with capacities of over
15-20 KT/year. However, as demand lingers
behind capacity addition, many Chinese processors
have low capacity utilization. This will continue
until the new capacity addition is absorbed.
Most of the Chinese capacity is used to fulfill
the domestic demand, but over the years China
is likely to emerge as a strong exporter of
oriented PP films.
The key hurdles facing the market are:
* Overcapacity
* Competition from BOPET
* Commoditization of OPP films
* Regional shift of demand
* Aggressive role of Chinese processors in
the coming few years
* Lower growth opportunities compared to nineties
Besides China; India, South America and Russia
are likely to show higher growth rates. Growth
rates in North America and Europe will hover
around 4-5 %. AMI estimates the growth for
next 5 years at about 7.5% level. This will
taper off to about 5% in the following 5 years.
AMI expects the demand to reach a level of
6.5 million tons by 2013.